Alaska Senate Election 2026
Dan Sullivan (R) is running. Rating: Toss-up.
Status: upcoming. Election day is November 3, 2026.
Candidates
| Candidate | Party | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Mary Peltola | Democratic | Former U.S. Representative |
| Dan Sullivan (incumbent) | Republican | Senator since 2015 |
Polls
| Date | Pollster | Mary Peltola | Dan Sullivan |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 11, 2026 | InsiderAdvantage (R) | 50% | 48% |
| October 3, 2026 | Alaska Survey Research | 51% | 49% |
| September 30, 2026 | Quantus (R) | 46% | 47% |
| September 30, 2026 | NYT/Siena | 50% | 43% |
| September 24, 2026 | Trafalgar (R) | 46% | 47% |
| September 17, 2026 | co/efficient (R) | 46% | 49% |
| September 14, 2026 | Rasmussen (R) | 39% | 39% |
| September 12, 2026 | Alaska Survey Research | 52% | 48% |
| September 11, 2026 | Fabrizio (R) | 53% | 47% |
| September 11, 2026 | Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact (D) | 46% | 41% |
| August 23, 2026 | Alaska Survey Research | 51% | 49% |
| August 5, 2026 | Alaska Survey Research | 51% | 49% |
| August 4, 2026 | Data for Progress (D) | 53% | 47% |
| June 29, 2026 | NYT/Siena | 45% | 47% |
Average of the 5 most recent polls: Mary Peltola 48.6%, Dan Sullivan 46.8%. Polls are snapshots, not predictions.
Where the candidates stand
Mary Peltola (D)
- Pledges to protect the right to choose and opposed overturning Roe. (2026-10-09) source
- Mixed gun record: voted against some federal gun regulations but supports universal background checks and safe storage. (2026-10-09) source
- Sponsored a path to legal status that includes Dreamers. (2023) source
- Would tax millionaires and billionaires to eliminate federal income tax for people earning under $92,000. (2026-10-09) source
- Sponsored the PRO Act to expand organizing and bargaining rights. (2023) source
- Wants to restore solar and wind tax credits but supports oil and gas development in Alaska. (2026-10-09) source
- Opposes the Iran war, citing higher fuel prices, and wants Congress to decide on war. (2026-05-11) source
- Voted for federal recognition of same-sex marriages. (2022) source
- Voted against banning transgender athletes from girls' and women's sports. (2023-04-20) source
- Says the best wage is a livable one; supports incentives for companies that pay fair wages. (2026-10-09) source
Dan Sullivan (R)
- Supported overturning Roe and says abortion policy belongs to the states. (2026-10-09) source
- Voted against expanding background checks and sponsored interstate concealed carry. (2022) source
- Voted against encouraging state red-flag laws. (2022) source
- Sponsored a 900-mile border wall, asylum limits and mandatory E-Verify. (2023) source
- Voted to extend the 2017 tax cuts and against raising taxes on corporations and the wealthy. (2025) source
- Voted against raising the federal minimum wage to $15. (2021) source
- Voted to end clean energy tax credits and against the 2022 climate investments. (2025) source
- Voted five times against requiring congressional approval for military action against Iran. (2026-05-13) source
- Voted for the Respect for Marriage Act after adding religious-liberty protections, though he opposed the 2015 Obergefell ruling. (2022-11-30) source
- Opposes transgender athletes competing in girls' and women's sports. (2022-09-25) source
Sources
- 2026 United States Senate elections (Wikipedia)
- Latest Senate polls (RealClearPolling)
- 2026 election polls (Political.org)
- Cook Political Report Senate ratings
- The Green Papers: 2026 candidates by state
- Cook Political Report Senate overview: South Carolina, Mississippi, Minnesota (Oct. 20, 2026)
- Midterm Elections in Ohio, October 2026 (Marist Poll)
- Midterm Elections in Michigan, October 2026 (Marist Poll)
Ratings, candidates and polls last updated October 24, 2026. Ratings are expert forecasts, not results.